captain11s
0x9599ff6b954fd81b0c939e95369b613838613c20
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $202.6k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $7.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.007 | $7.50 | +$1.50 |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers · 76ers | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Warriors vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.181 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.75 |
| Lakers vs. Kings · Kings | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Heat vs. Lakers · Heat | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Pistons · Mavericks | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Warriors vs. Trail Blazers · Warriors | 0.385 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
| Thunder vs. Hawks · Hawks | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.80 |
| Spurs vs. Lakers · Spurs | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.58 |
| Warriors vs. Bucks · Warriors | 0.113 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.39 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Kings vs. Nuggets · Kings | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Celtics vs. Knicks · Celtics | 0.191 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Cavaliers vs. Nets · Nets | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Magic | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.527Nuggets vs. Warriors
- +$1.6kat 0.321Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$250.33at 0.493Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
- +$229.11at 0.190Pistons vs. Rockets
- +$143.08at 0.440Bucks vs. Raptors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 05:30 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.534 | $10.68 |
| 05-31 09:30 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.352 | $52.80 |
| 05-26 02:15 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.279 | $41.85 |
| 05-25 02:45 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 05-25 01:16 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.24 | $7.99 |
| 05-25 01:15 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.2139964789 | $26.13 |
| 05-24 14:17 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.156 | $15.60 |
| 05-14 03:39 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1419999749 | $4.73 |
| 05-14 03:38 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2259999732 | $5.00 |
| 11-12 03:11 | Celtics vs. 76ers | SELL | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 11-12 02:33 | Warriors vs. Thunder | SELL | 0.03 | $39.00 |
| 11-12 01:11 | Warriors vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 11-12 01:11 | Warriors vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 11-11 05:56 | Hawks vs. Clippers | SELL | 0.07 | $5.10 |
| 11-11 05:46 | Hawks vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |