eternal-victory
0x9596f4b171c3ea75548d15169a8d50b1b8f1258b
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $32.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.632 | 0.195 | $1.2k | −$2.8k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.075 | $330.99 | −$1.1k |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.051 | $151.15 | −$448.85 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.379 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$346.70 |
| Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31? · Yes | 0.313 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.334Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$360.44at 0.581Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 19:30 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6291530279 | $1000.00 |
| 03-10 19:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299010953 | $500.00 |
| 03-10 19:12 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6379745575 | $500.00 |
| 03-10 19:09 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6414930557 | $1000.00 |
| 03-10 19:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999996 | $500.00 |
| 03-10 19:06 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1977878223 | $500.00 |
| 03-10 19:06 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6247588533 | $1.5k |
| 03-10 19:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |
| 03-10 19:04 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3298529858 | $453.00 |
| 01-14 22:41 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.4299999988 | $200.00 |
| 01-14 22:40 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999981 | $100.00 |
| 01-14 22:40 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999997 | $200.00 |
| 01-14 19:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.3789223354 | $346.70 |
| 01-14 19:32 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999992 | $200.00 |
| 01-14 19:31 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.358223568 | $100.00 |