Multicoloured-Serf
0x958bdb8aa30b8e5bd1fe4ee071f309c84e97f826
- Realised P&L
- $-181.1k
- Volume
- $3.50M
- Markets traded
- 464
- Open portfolio
- $942.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded464
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) · Steelers | 0.500 | 0.885 | $154.9k | +$67.4k |
| Vikings vs. Lions · Lions | 0.555 | 0.565 | $134.0k | +$2.4k |
| Browns vs. Steelers · Steelers | 0.747 | 0.945 | $94.7k | +$19.9k |
| Raiders vs. Jets · Jets | 0.558 | 0.725 | $78.8k | +$18.1k |
| Vikings vs. Lions · Vikings | 0.333 | 0.435 | $57.9k | +$13.5k |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) · Vikings | 0.520 | 0.625 | $54.7k | +$9.2k |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) · Cowboys | 0.540 | 0.805 | $44.3k | +$14.6k |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 222.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.495 | $33.1k | +$316.03 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers · Falcons | 0.368 | 0.175 | $32.7k | −$36.0k |
| Titans vs. Bengals · Bengals | 0.647 | 0.845 | $27.2k | +$6.4k |
| Raptors vs. Lakers · Raptors | 0.410 | 0.415 | $25.6k | +$307.88 |
| Raiders vs. Jets · Raiders | 0.438 | 0.275 | $23.7k | −$14.1k |
| Ravens vs. Bills · Bills | 0.699 | 0.905 | $17.6k | +$4.0k |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.790 | $17.5k | +$7.1k |
| Titans vs. Bengals · Titans | 0.243 | 0.155 | $17.5k | −$9.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$223.8kat 0.360Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
- +$197.0kat 0.350Lakers vs. Warriors
- +$188.1kat 0.510Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
- +$167.9kat 0.473Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
- +$156.8kat 0.239Kent State vs. Sacramento State
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:38 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $504.35 |
| 11-01 19:29 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.75 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 19:28 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.75 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 19:28 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.75 | $2.4k |
| 11-01 19:28 | Vikings vs. Lions | BUY | 0.54 | $10.9k |
| 11-01 19:28 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.75 | $4.9k |
| 11-01 19:25 | Vikings vs. Lions | BUY | 0.4846168352 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 19:20 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.25 | $83.75 |
| 11-01 19:16 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.79 | $3.1k |
| 11-01 19:12 | Browns vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.88 | $132.00 |
| 11-01 19:12 | Vikings vs. Lions | BUY | 0.55 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 19:12 | Vikings vs. Lions | BUY | 0.55 | $4.4k |
| 11-01 19:12 | Vikings vs. Lions | BUY | 0.54 | $2.7k |
| 11-01 19:09 | Falcons vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.24 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 19:08 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.29 | $190.53 |