fangweig
0x9586b8d652a1963b6b65787d970c26d56389f7df
- Realised P&L
- $-14.09
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $7.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.00at 0.440Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
- +$20.50at 0.650Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?
- +$15.30at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6AM ET
- +$14.70at 0.510Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 22?
- +$13.20at 0.340Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 07:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13? | SELL | 0.7 | $5.75 |
| 04-04 09:54 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 03-27 09:44 | Will Solana dip to $80 in March? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 03-25 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $4.75 |
| 03-25 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $6.74 |
| 03-25 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $8.00 |
| 03-25 08:11 | Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 03-25 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 02-11 04:47 | Flying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.98349 | $39.34 |
| 01-16 04:47 | Over $18M committed to the Space public sale? | BUY | 0.68 | $17.00 |
| 01-16 04:46 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.045 | $7.65 |
| 12-22 07:21 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 12-22 07:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 12-18 03:50 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.76 | $22.80 |
| 12-18 03:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |