0x958016272886f6e1400f8c4c9e3628e1d45476bb
0x958016272886f6e1400f8c4c9e3628e1d45476bb
- Realised P&L
- $-10.35
- Volume
- $165.03
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $13.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.200 | $11.13 | +$6.13 |
| Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.041 | $2.56 | −$2.44 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.91 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.688 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.44at 0.411Harry Kane: 1+ goals
- +$1.37at 0.733Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5
- +$0.13at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 20?
- +$0.12at 0.500Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$-0.12at 0.500Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:29 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 00:28 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.0898203587 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 23:37 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 07-22 23:37 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.25 |
| 07-06 21:59 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6879999975 | $6.50 |
| 07-06 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.91 |
| 07-06 04:15 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $5.49 |
| 07-06 04:00 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.7199999712 | $4.00 |
| 07-06 03:16 | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | SELL | 0.999 | $2.50 |
| 07-06 01:07 | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 00:57 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.65 |
| 07-05 21:28 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 19:21 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 19:20 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |