PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x95778F11FE15ef2Bb0f31A1E65068FE9caD6E92C-1767886029461

0x95778f11fe15ef2bb0f31a1e65068fe9cad6e92c

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$28.4k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$31.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · Yes0.0900.033$18.33−$31.67
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3500.045$12.86−$87.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-10 19:33US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.0599830804$70.00
03-05 21:18US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY0.003$50.00
03-02 22:05Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?BUY0.0797865868$50.00
03-02 22:00Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?BUY0.0699999994$100.00
01-09 15:01Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
01-08 19:24US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2692393965$80.00
01-08 19:23Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 1?BUY0.001$1.00
01-08 19:23Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get less than 30 million views on day 1?BUY0.003$1.00
01-08 19:23Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 1?BUY0.0021761246$1.00
01-08 19:23Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get 35 million or more views on day 1?BUY0.0060000001$1.00
01-08 15:48Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?BUY0.0899999985$50.00
01-08 15:43Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3499999986$100.00
01-08 15:43Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.369999998$100.00
01-08 15:38Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999999$1.5k