0x956bcac1eb87bed4478cd51700f5a6faf1f77811
0x956bcac1eb87bed4478cd51700f5a6faf1f77811
- Realised P&L
- $36.00
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $96.69
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.805 | 0.795 | $39.52 | −$0.48 |
| Chargers vs. Bills · Bills | 0.760 | 0.755 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders · Seahawks | 0.740 | 0.735 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Bengals vs. Steelers · Bengals | 0.640 | 0.635 | $9.92 | −$0.08 |
| Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles | 0.670 | 0.625 | $9.33 | −$0.67 |
| CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by October 31? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.875 | $6.34 | +$1.34 |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win more than 11.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? · O 11.5 | 0.469 | 0.408 | $4.36 | −$0.64 |
| Will the New England Patriots win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? · O 9.5 | 0.630 | 0.535 | $4.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? · O 9.5 | 0.610 | 0.380 | $3.11 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.32at 0.380Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$12.44at 0.590Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$10.98at 0.477US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$10.56at 0.210Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
- +$8.16at 0.380Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 20:45 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 18:11 | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by October 31? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 18:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 15:06 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 15:05 | Bengals vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 15:05 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 15:02 | Seahawks vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 19:17 | Bengals vs. Texans | SELL | 0.1 | $0.86 |
| 09-18 20:29 | Bengals vs. Texans | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 18:53 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 14:23 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 09-04 14:23 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | SELL | 0.726 | $14.05 |
| 09-04 14:22 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win more than 11.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | BUY | 0.4689999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 10:25 | Will the New England Patriots win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 10:24 | Will the Denver Broncos win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |