MilagrosP
0x9567d49b5392dda6ebd9c076f6671ee5dfb283f2
- Realised P&L
- $-46.73
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 436
- Open portfolio
- $5.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded436
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.22at 0.474Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-07-19?
- +$32.63at 0.351France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$17.11at 0.233Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?
- +$16.00at 0.245Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 15?
- +$14.05at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.72 | $5.07 |
| 09-23 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.3149606299 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5234567787 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.13 |
| 09-21 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3861386123 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 23:55 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |