0x95642657fe2fee3b9822b5ce8526132ce4356faa
0x95642657fe2fee3b9822b5ce8526132ce4356faa
- Realised P&L
- $-6.21
- Volume
- $119.50
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $0.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.380 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.48at 0.278Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.10at 0.301Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$3.00at 0.308Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.38at 0.359Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.09at 0.389S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:44 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:18 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:39 | Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5299998247 | $1.30 |
| 09-23 16:43 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999114 | $1.30 |
| 09-23 07:35 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.6099998686 | $1.30 |
| 09-19 07:43 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999488 | $1.30 |
| 09-19 07:30 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.30 |
| 09-18 05:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3099999547 | $1.30 |
| 09-17 17:43 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599999898 | $1.30 |
| 09-16 15:54 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7299999663 | $1.30 |
| 09-16 07:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.3799999591 | $1.30 |
| 09-10 07:22 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 10? | BUY | 0.5899999546 | $1.30 |
| 09-09 20:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4099999622 | $1.30 |
| 09-09 00:08 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6699998299 | $1.30 |
| 09-08 10:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3299999949 | $1.30 |