0x9563c4D9a40CF1190d7F77e55f13160Da000D7bE-1766126601784
0x9563c4d9a40cf1190d7f77e55f13160da000d7be
- Realised P&L
- $2.97
- Volume
- $561.98
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $81.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.918 | 0.988 | $58.26 | +$4.10 |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.969 | $21.31 | +$2.18 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.016 | $0.94 | −$3.19 |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.030 | $0.67 | −$1.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.20at 0.969Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
- +$-5.00at 0.025Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 10:02 | Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.13 |
| 02-24 10:02 | Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.9179661017 | $54.16 |
| 02-20 07:44 | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.969 | $193.80 |
| 02-20 07:44 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 02-17 13:11 | Anthropic acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.98 |
| 02-17 13:10 | Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $19.13 |