0x95606Cd71CbfF7672b7C30959be4d0aD4B2DF589-1735197651035
0x95606cd71cbff7672b7c30959be4d0ad4b2df589
- Realised P&L
- $-236.28
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,230 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.970 | $4.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16? · No | 0.997 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.01at 0.997Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 6 million views this week?
- +$0.00at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?
- +$0.00at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 29?
- +$-0.28at 0.999Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.28at 0.999Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 06:43 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,230 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 08:14 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 6 million views this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.00 |
| 06-11 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11? | SELL | 0.9964375024 | $255.34 |
| 06-11 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11? | BUY | 0.9989999971 | $256.00 |
| 06-11 01:44 | Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $255.74 |
| 06-11 01:44 | Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $256.00 |
| 06-11 01:44 | Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $255.74 |
| 06-11 01:44 | Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $256.00 |
| 06-11 01:43 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $255.74 |
| 06-11 01:43 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $256.00 |
| 04-29 02:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 29? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.33 |
| 04-29 02:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29? | BUY | 0.9969992549 | $1.33 |
| 04-27 13:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $227.09 |