0x955d00bbc9443626caf68fa2e4ebbf75e8177d97
- Realised P&L
- $5.05
- Volume
- $57.23
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $14.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes | 0.664 | 1.000 | $7.44 | +$2.50 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.160 | 1.000 | $6.25 | +$5.25 |
| Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.021 | $0.38 | −$1.47 |
| Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.23 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 01:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 18:29 | Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? | BUY | 0.0989999554 | $1.85 |
| 04-05 18:25 | Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April? | BUY | 0.0494969819 | $1.23 |
| 04-05 18:24 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.6639999581 | $4.94 |