kirsan777
0x95593534f6a6f5069fcbeb39039b25d7626e8bc2
- Realised P&L
- $96.88
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $757.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.394 | 0.265 | $203.30 | −$98.85 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.151 | $174.47 | −$34.29 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.770 | $132.76 | +$32.76 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.395 | $131.67 | +$31.67 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.564 | 0.125 | $115.00 | −$404.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.12at 0.214GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$153.66at 0.337GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$86.70at 0.322UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$78.00at 0.754Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$70.00at 0.543MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 07:46 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1085509847 | $93.15 |
| 08-06 07:43 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3 | $20.15 |
| 07-28 15:34 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8637606665 | $256.10 |
| 07-28 15:33 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $335.70 |
| 04-09 09:59 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2144772118 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 09:59 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3372684513 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 09:59 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6596701631 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 09:59 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 09:58 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 03-30 12:34 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6854400469 | $116.90 |
| 03-30 12:34 | Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.09 | $25.01 |
| 02-23 18:52 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5863104861 | $100.00 |
| 02-23 18:52 | Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3597974585 | $100.00 |
| 01-29 20:40 | UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 01-29 20:39 | UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4899999941 | $40.00 |