0x954D15E2ca1E2421e6D996107B6476A6c68ECD39-1774574096397
0x954d15e2ca1e2421e6d996107b6476a6c68ecd39
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $739.5k
- Markets traded
- 505
- Open portfolio
- $809.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded505
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.640 | $705.11 | +$419.47 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.054 | $104.15 | −$12.09 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 25 million views in week 1? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.001 | $0.28 | −$34.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.190Will MrBeast's next video get between 78 and 79 million views on day 6?
- +$5.1kat 0.270Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
- +$2.0kat 0.158Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
- +$1.7kat 0.010Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
- +$1.7kat 0.263Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:34 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.331781 | $66.36 |
| 09-28 08:32 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.28 |
| 09-28 08:31 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.75 |
| 09-28 08:31 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.28 |
| 09-28 08:30 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.0686629791 | $12.00 |
| 09-28 08:28 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.0235582821 | $1.60 |
| 09-28 08:26 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.375 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 08:22 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.0172002249 | $17.00 |
| 09-28 07:18 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.4742244208 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 06:29 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 25 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 09-28 06:29 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 09-28 06:28 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.0027132 | $1.09 |
| 09-28 06:28 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 06:28 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.0044604222 | $1.35 |
| 09-28 00:52 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.8816536784 | $600.00 |