0x9544b61bae6c9e0c9868bf96d8a720fc840c770d
- Realised P&L
- $-8.93
- Volume
- $177.30
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $25.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.910 | $7.46 | −$0.33 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $187.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.940 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in September? · No | 0.840 | 0.810 | $4.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.460 | $3.33 | −$1.67 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.240 | $3.33 | −$1.67 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.125 | $1.74 | −$3.26 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $490 on September 16? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.88at 0.512Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
- +$3.23at 0.769Will West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?
- +$3.12at 0.620Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on September 17?
- +$1.16at 0.816S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 16?
- +$0.99at 0.836S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:07 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.9689999973 | $6.45 |
| 09-17 16:05 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on September 17? | BUY | 0.6099999488 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 15:18 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 11:15 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 09:26 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9479999995 | $15.58 |
| 09-17 07:22 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 22:49 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on September 17? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 22:09 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on September 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.05 |
| 09-16 21:27 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.79 |
| 09-16 21:00 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 19:52 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $490 on September 16? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 16:08 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $187.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 15:38 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 16? | BUY | 0.8099999889 | $5.09 |
| 09-16 15:38 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 21:00 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |