PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tobiasfd23

0x954430eac9546e241bd4a8ccc6d0a317260ec33a

Realised P&L
$5.52
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$6.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 12? · No0.9960.997$6.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 07:44Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 12?BUY0.9961698489$6.00
09-16 03:33Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.999$6.00
07-29 05:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 1?BUY0.997$5.00
05-29 08:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 1?BUY0.996$6.00
04-16 08:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 17?BUY0.999$6.48
03-24 06:59Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?BUY0.999$8.07
03-24 06:54Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?SELL0.999$15.86
03-17 03:09Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?BUY0.9929999477$15.77
03-11 06:20Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.995$15.30
03-04 06:58Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.997$15.34
03-03 06:12Knicks vs. RaptorsBUY0.5899999373$3.20
01-22 08:47Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.998$225.05
01-22 06:24Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.999$225.28
01-22 06:19Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.997$223.87
01-22 03:40Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.998$224.10