Tobiasfd23
0x954430eac9546e241bd4a8ccc6d0a317260ec33a
- Realised P&L
- $5.52
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $6.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 12? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $6.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.12at 0.570Jazz vs. Bulls
- +$2.22at 0.590Knicks vs. Raptors
- +$0.10at 0.993Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 1?
- +$0.01at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 07:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9961698489 | $6.00 |
| 09-16 03:33 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 07-29 05:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 08:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.00 |
| 04-16 08:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.48 |
| 03-24 06:59 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.07 |
| 03-24 06:54 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.86 |
| 03-17 03:09 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999477 | $15.77 |
| 03-11 06:20 | Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.995 | $15.30 |
| 03-04 06:58 | Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.34 |
| 03-03 06:12 | Knicks vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.5899999373 | $3.20 |
| 01-22 08:47 | Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.998 | $225.05 |
| 01-22 06:24 | Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.999 | $225.28 |
| 01-22 06:19 | Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.997 | $223.87 |
| 01-22 03:40 | Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.998 | $224.10 |