Virtual-Pheromone-Certificate
0x953ea7954045eada5bb48bb93d14aaf73d27e71d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.94
- Volume
- $511.37
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $37.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.650 | 1.000 | $7.69 | +$2.69 |
| DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. ERC Ingolstadt · ERC Ingolstadt | 0.540 | 1.000 | $3.70 | +$1.70 |
| Will Al Arabi Doha SC win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.550 | 1.000 | $3.63 | +$1.63 |
| Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.550 | 1.000 | $3.63 | +$1.63 |
| ELH: Olomouc vs. Karlovy Vary · Karlovy Vary | 0.580 | 1.000 | $3.45 | +$1.45 |
| KHL: Torpedo vs. HC Dynamo Moscow · Torpedo | 0.600 | 1.000 | $3.33 | +$1.33 |
| Will FC Cartagena win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.610 | 1.000 | $3.28 | +$1.28 |
| Besiktas vs. FC Bayern Munchen · Besiktas | 0.630 | 1.000 | $3.17 | +$1.17 |
| Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.690 | 1.000 | $2.90 | +$0.90 |
| KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Traktor · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 0.580 | 1.000 | $1.72 | +$0.72 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.360 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Ak Bars Kazan · Shanghai Dragons | 0.520 | 0.005 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| DEL: Eisbären Berlin vs. EHC Red Bull München · Eisbären Berlin | 0.620 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.88at 0.515Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?
- +$2.11at 0.660Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
- +$2.05at 0.666Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- +$1.86at 0.525Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$1.52at 0.575Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 16:03 | Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.6499999458 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 16:03 | Will Al Arabi Doha SC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 16:02 | DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. ERC Ingolstadt | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 16:02 | DEL: Eisbären Berlin vs. EHC Red Bull München | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 16:02 | Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 16:01 | Besiktas vs. FC Bayern Munchen | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 16:01 | Will FC Cartagena win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 16:01 | KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Ak Bars Kazan | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 15:59 | Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 15:59 | KHL: Torpedo vs. HC Dynamo Moscow | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 15:59 | Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 15:58 | Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 15:58 | ELH: Olomouc vs. Karlovy Vary | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 15:58 | KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Traktor | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 15:58 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |