PolyBot

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Traders

Kshzx

0x9537d7ca40572026ac72ce18f7affae759d3a2f1

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$147.0k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$965.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1610.155$965.01−$34.99
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.94
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.3210.000$0.00−$400.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.3190.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 11:53Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1606202284$1.0k
07-23 17:03Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.1899999986$100.00
07-14 19:10Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.4178466509$300.00
06-10 20:43Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7900524227$290.00
06-09 19:11US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.81$294.54
06-06 21:16Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?BUY0.2599999169$1.94
06-01 17:04US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7699999994$280.00
06-01 16:48Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?SELL0.693694826$279.27
05-29 20:40Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?BUY0.5464542784$220.00
05-29 19:09Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.002$5.00
05-29 19:07US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?SELL0.9076031418$109.77
05-29 19:07US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.92$117.95
05-27 14:28Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?BUY0.3186484654$100.00
05-27 14:28US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?BUY0.8267465184$100.00
05-27 14:28US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7799999995$100.00