Kshzx
0x9537d7ca40572026ac72ce18f7affae759d3a2f1
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $147.0k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $965.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.155 | $965.01 | −$34.99 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.94 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes | 0.321 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No | 0.319 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.400US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$992.93at 0.489Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$507.94at 0.610US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$451.20at 0.499Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$442.85at 0.289Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 11:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1606202284 | $1.0k |
| 07-23 17:03 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 19:10 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.4178466509 | $300.00 |
| 06-10 20:43 | Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7900524227 | $290.00 |
| 06-09 19:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $294.54 |
| 06-06 21:16 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2599999169 | $1.94 |
| 06-01 17:04 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999994 | $280.00 |
| 06-01 16:48 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | SELL | 0.693694826 | $279.27 |
| 05-29 20:40 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | BUY | 0.5464542784 | $220.00 |
| 05-29 19:09 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 19:07 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.9076031418 | $109.77 |
| 05-29 19:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $117.95 |
| 05-27 14:28 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY | 0.3186484654 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 14:28 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.8267465184 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 14:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |