bet-degen
0x9532d0df24e9bb83160aed049d68977d9db06bc1
- Realised P&L
- $-246.04
- Volume
- $71.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,527
- Open portfolio
- $37.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,527
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.60at 0.120Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$25.51at 0.017Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$16.05at 0.001Will the highest temperature in New York City be 58°F or higher on April 4?
- +$14.76at 0.476Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$13.26at 0.915Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 16:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 15:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 4? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 10-04 14:50 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-02 20:05 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $150-$155 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 20:04 | Will Apple (AAPL) close at $325-$330 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 20:03 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 18:34 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 09-30 15:00 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-27 14:54 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 27? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 09-25 20:06 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $220-$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 01:45 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 09-18 10:05 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 09-18 09:57 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 16:06 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 12:33 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |