seewhatido
0x953016fa1ce37ce63e68a5f9ae192bddf42f5699
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $53.6k
- Markets traded
- 497
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded497
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.72at 0.170Israel military action against Lebanon on October 9?
- +$40.00at 0.100Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 45% or more?
- +$39.70at 0.103Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 21% or more?
- +$38.00at 0.120Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026?
- +$37.70at 0.123Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.38 |
| 10-08 21:34 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-08 21:34 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 45% or more? | BUY | 0.9866253 | $98.66 |
| 10-08 21:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.36 | $14.40 |
| 10-08 21:27 | Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.26 | $8.06 |
| 10-08 21:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.8324572092 | $28.69 |
| 10-08 21:21 | Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | BUY | 0.759 | $9.03 |
| 10-08 21:20 | Will Carolina Panthers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most special teams and defensive touchdowns? | BUY | 0.8524644 | $85.25 |
| 10-08 21:13 | Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.48 |
| 10-08 21:07 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 10-08 21:02 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 10-08 21:01 | Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 10-08 20:42 | Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $52.20 |
| 10-08 20:38 | Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.5960474308 | $19.60 |
| 10-08 20:36 | Will Trabzonspor finish top 8 in UECL league phase? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.55 |