PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

seth53

0x95277feb59f1d038926d8cbfaeebf637580bebe0

Realised P&L
$60.72
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$21.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 29? · Yes0.5900.410$16.98−$7.46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 29? · No0.6400.935$4.67+$1.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:16Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$4.09
01-31 13:50Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?BUY0.999$12.15
01-30 12:06Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.9989999787$11.74
01-30 12:04Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January?BUY0.999$16.02
01-30 11:40Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?BUY0.9939999998$24.49
01-30 11:38Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January?BUY0.999$33.62
12-30 10:11Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?BUY0.999$10.93
12-30 09:17Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999819$22.57
12-29 22:08Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.999$19.97
12-29 19:10Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?BUY0.998$35.59
10-31 16:18Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?BUY0.999$16.07
10-31 15:41Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in October?BUY0.999$15.18
10-30 17:52Will Solana dip to $120 in October?BUY0.998$32.96
09-29 16:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?BUY0.9989999823$10.80
09-29 06:39Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.9629999542$16.91