seth53
0x95277feb59f1d038926d8cbfaeebf637580bebe0
- Realised P&L
- $60.72
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $21.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.410 | $16.98 | −$7.46 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 29? · No | 0.640 | 0.935 | $4.67 | +$1.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.46at 0.400Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?
- +$21.16at 0.540Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$10.06at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
- +$9.40at 0.500Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$6.83at 0.750Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:16 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.09 |
| 01-31 13:50 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.15 |
| 01-30 12:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999787 | $11.74 |
| 01-30 12:04 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.02 |
| 01-30 11:40 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $24.49 |
| 01-30 11:38 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.62 |
| 12-30 10:11 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.93 |
| 12-30 09:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999819 | $22.57 |
| 12-29 22:08 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 12-29 19:10 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.59 |
| 10-31 16:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.07 |
| 10-31 15:41 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.18 |
| 10-30 17:52 | Will Solana dip to $120 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.96 |
| 09-29 16:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.9989999823 | $10.80 |
| 09-29 06:39 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.9629999542 | $16.91 |