Alphabet.
0x95199699a26cf30ba79c22ec358b8f4a502642c7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.51
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $71.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.015 | $44.17 | −$53.83 |
| Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.053 | $27.82 | −$57.18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Down | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.29at 1.030Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $4.00 |
| 10-28 03:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $4.04 |
| 10-28 03:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.00 |
| 10-21 10:43 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0343893125 | $98.00 |
| 10-21 10:37 | Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? | BUY | 0.1634534991 | $85.00 |