darkn3ss
0x9517f0e3f00dcb73dbb47ba1eb59788760fc3ebc
- Realised P&L
- $38.71
- Volume
- $413.59
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $20.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4? · Yes | 0.931 | 1.000 | $19.99 | +$1.37 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4? · No | 0.103 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$3.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.56at 0.564Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 23?
- +$6.71at 0.242Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 23?
- +$0.19at 0.845Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September?
- +$-1.15at 0.010Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 22:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.10 |
| 09-22 15:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.835 | $1.00 |