PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

00000000AAAAAAAA

0x950ac006e2d64c97abeea28e97a9acd817d6b380

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$2.05M
Markets traded
447
Open portfolio
$33.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded447
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? · Yes0.0600.120$15.96+$7.98
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0160.025$12.74+$4.58
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.0500.053$4.24+$0.24
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0600.030$1.01$0.97
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$22.39
Israel strike on Damascus by December 31? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$3.99
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$3.99
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$11.97
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$4.00
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$2.20
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$10.30
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$3.89
North Korea missile launch by November 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.96
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$4.00
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$11.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 19:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.53$33.13
06-09 20:25US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?SELL0.007$7.44
06-08 22:22US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?SELL0.0338101539$3.76
06-08 22:22US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?SELL0.0365560356$5.41
06-08 19:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.9$36.00
06-08 19:38US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?SELL0.032$11.52
06-08 19:35US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?SELL0.036$3.60
06-02 22:44MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.012$4.00
06-01 00:43US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?BUY0.008$4.00
05-31 14:31US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?SELL0.026$7.28
05-30 15:40Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.001$4.00
05-29 19:25US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?BUY0.0699999839$4.00
05-29 19:20US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?BUY0.0699999881$5.40
05-29 19:14US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?BUY0.07$4.20
05-29 19:12US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?BUY0.0699999839$4.00