jr2026
0x950875d31750762ede32d3d76682cf0d03653f62
- Realised P&L
- $-12.1k
- Volume
- $347.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $15.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $15.16 | −$246.52 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$575.86 |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$381.83 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$333.05 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$426.93at 0.390Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$380.39at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$129.97at 0.844Will France win on 2026-07-04?
- +$-899.99at 0.070Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 20:51 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.389 | $3.9k |
| 07-08 18:27 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.62 | $632.40 |
| 07-03 19:22 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $8.00 |
| 07-03 19:20 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.84 | $700.00 |
| 05-31 20:23 | Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.1498021146 | $73.49 |
| 05-31 20:22 | Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.0716560385 | $68.07 |
| 05-31 19:27 | Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.1489999989 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 16:41 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.3830158571 | $268.11 |
| 05-30 16:36 | Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.1369036837 | $54.78 |
| 05-30 16:31 | Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.131 | $59.38 |
| 05-30 16:30 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.163 | $362.90 |
| 05-30 16:26 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.163 | $494.86 |
| 05-30 16:23 | Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.079486534 | $60.62 |
| 05-05 19:19 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.75 |
| 05-05 19:17 | Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.036 | $2.53 |