0x950171234738318fe27f75bf4eadff9481fb6e6c
- Realised P&L
- $-239.40
- Volume
- $19.7k
- Markets traded
- 287
- Open portfolio
- $13.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded287
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.12at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
- +$39.90at 0.720Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$31.08at 0.254Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$28.52at 0.769Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
- +$27.14at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:47 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.6799999827 | $11.00 |
| 09-18 10:46 | Will Valencia win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 20:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 20:37 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.0098039216 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 20:36 | Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 20:36 | Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.0679999383 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 20:36 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 20:35 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 20:34 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |