lkmgfldkmlsfn
0x94f0ef4654779e8d6bb9f2c369ddbef1887d09fd
- Realised P&L
- $1.60
- Volume
- $204.92
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $4.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)5.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? · No | 0.660 | 0.700 | $3.63 | +$0.21 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 10%-15%? · No | 0.939 | 0.879 | $0.95 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.60at 0.680Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 24?
- +$0.00at 0.400Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election?
- +$0.00at 0.130Will PP win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?
- +$0.00at 0.990Will "Sacrifice" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- +$0.00at 0.994Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 07:55 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 24? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 10-23 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.52 | $20.80 |
| 10-22 21:35 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 10-22 21:27 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.6599999575 | $3.42 |
| 10-22 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-22 21:09 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.9940322185 | $11.36 |
| 10-22 19:58 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.9389999684 | $1.01 |
| 10-22 18:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.99 |
| 10-22 17:15 | Will "Sacrifice" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-22 17:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 10-22 17:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 10-22 17:09 | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31? | BUY | 0.7099999591 | $5.73 |
| 10-22 17:06 | Will Vox win fewer than 56 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 10-22 16:32 | Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 10-22 15:52 | Will PNV win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |