PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lkmgfldkmlsfn

0x94f0ef4654779e8d6bb9f2c369ddbef1887d09fd

Realised P&L
$1.60
Volume
$204.92
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$4.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)5.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? · No0.6600.700$3.63+$0.21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 10%-15%? · No0.9390.879$0.95−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 07:55Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 24?BUY0.86$4.30
10-23 00:58Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 23?BUY0.52$20.80
10-22 21:35Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?BUY0.97$19.40
10-22 21:27Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?BUY0.6599999575$3.42
10-22 21:10Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?BUY0.98$4.90
10-22 21:09Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?BUY0.9940322185$11.36
10-22 19:58Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 10%-15%?BUY0.9389999684$1.01
10-22 18:15Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 24?BUY0.96$4.99
10-22 17:15Will "Sacrifice" be the top global Netflix movie this week?BUY0.99$9.90
10-22 17:10Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 24?BUY0.54$10.80
10-22 17:10Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 22?BUY0.67$3.35
10-22 17:09Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?BUY0.7099999591$5.73
10-22 17:06Will Vox win fewer than 56 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.87$17.40
10-22 16:32Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.4$8.00
10-22 15:52Will PNV win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.67$3.35