0x94eeb9d20bb4bfeba6e1381b674410cc37c05ebc
0x94eeb9d20bb4bfeba6e1381b674410cc37c05ebc
- Realised P&L
- $-363.61
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.423 | 0.695 | $657.00 | +$257.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.845 | $331.37 | +$131.37 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.895 | $271.21 | +$71.21 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.165 | $235.51 | −$164.49 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.125 | $227.27 | −$172.73 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.255 | $221.74 | −$178.26 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.085 | $215.90 | −$184.10 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.670 | 0.740 | $110.41 | +$10.41 |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.037 | $56.45 | +$6.45 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.75at 0.876Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 00:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $200.00 |
| 10-01 00:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $200.00 |
| 08-26 20:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.3799999998 | $400.00 |
| 08-26 03:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8589263419 | $400.00 |
| 08-26 01:45 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.032771535 | $50.00 |
| 08-25 22:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999996 | $400.00 |
| 08-25 03:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1574835313 | $400.00 |
| 08-25 03:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999996 | $400.00 |
| 08-25 03:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2802430574 | $400.00 |
| 08-25 03:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4231374506 | $400.00 |
| 08-25 03:33 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6702544989 | $100.00 |