PolyBot

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Traders

0x94d4b60481600c72b97cf8913be429c669f0c536

Realised P&L
$5.74
Volume
$42.50
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$13.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration83.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2200.845$3.84+$2.84
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.4100.960$2.34+$1.34
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.2900.515$1.78+$0.78
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2400.270$1.12+$0.12
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.4300.455$1.06+$0.06
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6200.635$1.02+$0.02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7300.730$1.00+$0.00
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.6000.535$0.89$0.11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3100.115$0.37$0.63
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.3400.001$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 17:12WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
08-05 09:11Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.6$1.00
08-05 00:54Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.429999828$1.00
08-04 16:53US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-04 08:52WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on August 4?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-04 00:52Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-03 16:45Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-03 16:45US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-03 16:44Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
08-03 16:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-03 08:35S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.8$1.00
08-02 20:15Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
08-02 00:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-01 16:01Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
07-31 23:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.33999983$1.00