0x94d4b60481600c72b97cf8913be429c669f0c536
- Realised P&L
- $5.74
- Volume
- $42.50
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $13.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.845 | $3.84 | +$2.84 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.410 | 0.960 | $2.34 | +$1.34 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.290 | 0.515 | $1.78 | +$0.78 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.270 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.455 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.635 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.730 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.600 | 0.535 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.310 | 0.115 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No | 0.340 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.55at 0.220Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$0.47at 0.680Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.25at 0.800S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-1.00at 0.270WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:12 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 09:11 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 00:54 | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:53 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:52 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:52 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:45 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:45 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:44 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:15 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 00:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 23:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |