snowdrop
0x94d321dc9812af6c83cce7b9f52bf7861a13424c
- Realised P&L
- $-157.78
- Volume
- $636.52
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-24.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.007 | $1.10 | −$8.90 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.93at 0.420Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$16.63at 0.346Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
- +$14.09at 0.659Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$5.64at 0.783Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$5.61at 0.646Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 20:06 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0636160187 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 11:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 23:44 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $39.51 |
| 05-24 22:19 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999615 | $4.94 |
| 05-12 19:15 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999868 | $18.00 |
| 05-01 10:55 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 04-23 15:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.53 |
| 07-21 21:26 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.37 | $20.51 |
| 05-25 00:35 | Jeremy Corbyn elected to parliament in UK election? | BUY | 0.4019607729 | $10.00 |