LKUHG
0x94ca09bf6d7459c8d24f96fdff584a399d3b1fbe
- Realised P&L
- $201.17
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $91.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $53.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $37.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.20at 0.614Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$62.62at 0.663Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$40.00at 0.600Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
- +$28.00at 0.720Solana above $215 on January 24?
- +$24.93at 0.880Iran strike on Israel before December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 06:13 | Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.00 |
| 10-13 06:12 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.00 |
| 09-10 09:00 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $135.00 |
| 08-30 07:05 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |
| 08-30 07:05 | Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 08-14 08:01 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.978999887 | $7.00 |
| 08-14 08:01 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 08-14 08:00 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $121.00 |
| 07-13 15:37 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.9819999987 | $6.00 |
| 07-13 15:36 | Will Solana reach $160 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $213.00 |
| 06-22 08:47 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 06-04 09:53 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 06-04 09:52 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $351.00 |
| 05-24 13:04 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.9779999978 | $5.40 |
| 05-18 09:02 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.9909999997 | $7.30 |