0x94be5c7b53d695d5b712b71fd0b4aa36ea63581c
0x94be5c7b53d695d5b712b71fd0b4aa36ea63581c
- Realised P&L
- $41.80
- Volume
- $261.70
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $38.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar16.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W100 Templeton, CA: Caroline Dolehide vs Julieta Pareja · Julieta Pareja | 0.210 | 1.000 | $27.25 | +$21.53 |
| Spread: Liberty (-7.5) · Liberty | 0.570 | 0.935 | $11.39 | +$4.45 |
| Curitiba: Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Luis Guto Miguel · Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.90 |
| Spread: New Mexico State (-2.5) · Western Kentucky | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.15 |
| China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli · Flavio Cobolli | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.44at 0.500Penguins vs. Flyers
- +$24.77at 0.500Steelers vs. Browns
- +$20.17at 0.500China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik
- +$11.80at 0.500Spread: New Mexico State (-2.5)
- +$-6.27at 0.500Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 23:25 | Spread: Liberty (-7.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $6.94 |
| 10-02 23:24 | W100 Templeton, CA: Caroline Dolehide vs Julieta Pareja | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 10-02 02:47 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SELL | 0.38 | $18.09 |
| 10-02 02:44 | Spread: New Mexico State (-2.5) | SELL | 0.89 | $27.13 |
| 10-02 02:41 | Steelers vs. Browns | SELL | 0.86 | $59.77 |
| 10-01 04:19 | China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli | BUY | 0.5099999766 | $9.81 |