0x94BCbceC9eCcf2d043D855B2225e2847F2Ac8ce0-1770624665474
0x94bcbcec9eccf2d043d855b2225e2847f2ac8ce0
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $99.4k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $36.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.104Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- +$1.3kat 0.608Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$947.01at 0.414Will Zoi Sadowski Synnott (NZL) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$424.95at 0.094Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- +$373.37at 0.313Will Metodej Jilek (CZE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 18:32 | UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $242.99 |
| 04-11 18:28 | UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $194.00 |
| 04-10 20:22 | Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | BUY | 0.15 | $49.82 |
| 04-10 20:18 | UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $582.00 |
| 04-10 19:42 | UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $970.00 |
| 04-10 17:34 | Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | BUY | 0.15 | $85.41 |
| 03-30 16:00 | Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.2443089879 | $84.13 |
| 03-29 06:42 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.93 |
| 03-28 06:06 | Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0463006131 | $13.14 |
| 03-20 10:01 | Will Tisza win at least 110 seats? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 03-17 16:52 | Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.28 | $96.42 |
| 03-16 02:20 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.01 | $78.89 |
| 03-16 02:19 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2 | $36.71 |
| 03-16 02:11 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 03-16 01:46 | Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.98 |