0x94bb99f350b4e200883e91ccdcd672ab3492a583
0x94bb99f350b4e200883e91ccdcd672ab3492a583
- Realised P&L
- $1.53
- Volume
- $120.57
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $5.87
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.963 | $2.29 | +$0.77 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.715 | $1.65 | +$0.13 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.565 | $1.09 | −$0.43 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.105 | $0.46 | −$1.06 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.140 | $0.39 | −$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.379Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.44at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.15at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$2.01at 0.430US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$1.71at 0.470US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:29 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999392 | $1.52 |
| 09-21 14:29 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999324 | $1.52 |
| 09-21 05:26 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999309 | $1.52 |
| 09-20 21:26 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999645 | $1.52 |
| 09-19 07:17 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.52 |
| 09-17 04:38 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999411 | $1.52 |
| 09-16 19:53 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2299999879 | $1.52 |
| 09-16 11:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6499998717 | $1.52 |
| 09-16 03:37 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4399999305 | $1.52 |
| 09-14 15:07 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998926 | $1.52 |
| 09-14 07:05 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999053 | $1.52 |
| 09-13 23:04 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999544 | $1.52 |
| 09-13 23:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.52 |
| 09-13 22:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998911 | $1.52 |
| 09-11 11:12 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.52 |