ilmonstro
0x94ba7370fef46dc52205445fd1f91d16b109b0d6
- Realised P&L
- $-555.97
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $159.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.16at 0.795Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$15.57at 0.253Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$13.40at 0.330Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 21?
- +$9.27at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$7.00at 0.650Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the Philippines by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 08:56 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $58.13 |
| 09-01 13:53 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999998 | $389.10 |
| 08-31 12:38 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $200.00 |
| 08-28 12:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $88.09 |
| 08-28 12:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $1.05 |
| 08-28 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0567633536 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 08-28 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 12:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 15:14 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.507550216 | $30.00 |
| 08-27 15:04 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 14:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |