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Traders

ilmonstro

0x94ba7370fef46dc52205445fd1f91d16b109b0d6

Realised P&L
$-555.97
Volume
$15.7k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$159.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1200.134$64.67+$6.54
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026? · No0.8080.905$18.40+$1.98
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? · No0.4700.880$17.60+$8.20
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? · No0.5000.595$11.89+$1.89
Will Ladd McConkey have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4500.175$7.00−$11.00
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4430.225$6.55−$6.35
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026? · No0.4800.320$6.40−$3.20
Will Marvin Harrison Jr. have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4600.134$5.36−$13.04
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2028? · Yes0.3700.260$5.20−$2.20
Will Christian McCaffrey have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6300.250$5.00−$7.60
Will Davante Adams have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6650.135$2.70−$10.60
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.120$2.40−$10.60
Will Ja'Marr Chase have 14.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4600.115$2.30−$6.90
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.095$1.90−$3.90
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.075$1.50−$2.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 08:56Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1199999999$58.13
09-01 13:53Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.7299999998$389.10
08-31 12:38Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.89$200.00
08-28 12:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL0.05$88.09
08-28 12:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL0.04$1.05
08-28 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.0567633536$100.00
08-28 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.1899999726$5.00
08-28 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL0.74$14.80
08-28 12:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.25$5.00
08-28 12:10Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.3299999591$5.00
08-27 15:14Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.507550216$30.00
08-27 15:04Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
08-27 14:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.2399999674$5.00
08-27 14:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.001$5.00
08-27 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.9699999998$100.00
Trader ilmonstro · PolyBot Pro