0x94aa952d59fbc596ae0cbcdf28d283ddbdbd9e71
- Realised P&L
- $-12.63
- Volume
- $853.15
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $3.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.030 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.059 | $1.60 | +$0.60 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? · No | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NVIDIA keynote? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by Dec 31? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Julapun Amornvivat be the next prime minister of Thailand? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.36at 0.110Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.82at 0.170Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$-0.87at 0.030Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?
- +$-2.33at 0.150OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-14 10:49 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.18 |
| 02-08 21:19 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 01-29 18:58 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.64 |
| 01-27 21:41 | Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.13 |
| 01-25 17:04 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 01-25 17:03 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0287118764 | $2.00 |
| 01-24 13:38 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.67 |
| 01-08 15:07 | Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0365287445 | $1.00 |
| 01-04 19:42 | Will Jensen Huang say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NVIDIA keynote? | BUY | 0.1756096974 | $2.00 |
| 12-21 18:35 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 12-21 18:34 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 12-21 18:34 | Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | BUY | 0.0949999211 | $1.00 |
| 12-21 18:34 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 12-20 14:47 | Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 12-20 14:43 | Will Julapun Amornvivat be the next prime minister of Thailand? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |