PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x949C34028B754641c974a9887f9e649159a574f6-1782021331229

0x949c34028b754641c974a9887f9e649159a574f6

Realised P&L
$-299.50
Volume
$22.1k
Markets traded
431
Open portfolio
$9.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded431
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.0800.075$4.69−$0.31
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.0700.065$4.64−$0.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Up0.3410.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7PM ET · Down0.0970.000$0.00−$2.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.2800.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.1430.000$0.00−$2.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down0.0570.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 18:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.2899999884$2.00
10-20 18:06Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.2$5.00
10-20 17:47Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.0379999998$5.00
10-20 15:12Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.4099999984$10.00
10-20 14:16Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
10-20 14:14Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.08$5.00
10-16 12:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.3899999844$3.00
10-16 12:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.1$2.00
10-15 22:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.32$7.17
10-15 22:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.449999964$5.00
10-15 22:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.4429133815$5.00
10-15 21:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ETBUY0.0899999969$2.00
10-15 21:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ETBUY0.139999993$2.00
10-15 21:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSELL0.99$11.41
10-15 21:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.2599999896$3.00