0x949C34028B754641c974a9887f9e649159a574f6-1782021331229
0x949c34028b754641c974a9887f9e649159a574f6
- Realised P&L
- $-299.50
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 431
- Open portfolio
- $9.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded431
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.25at 0.167Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$30.08at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10PM ET
- +$27.53at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$27.52at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3PM ET
- +$26.63at 0.218Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 18:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 18:06 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 17:47 | Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.0379999998 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 15:12 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 14:16 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 14:14 | Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 12:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 12:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 22:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $7.17 |
| 10-15 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4429133815 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 21:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 21:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 21:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $11.41 |
| 10-15 21:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $3.00 |