0x94997aB3CfdDDB66942fe99cb35ae18B9847460E-1768850025832
0x94997ab3cfdddb66942fe99cb35ae18b9847460e
- Realised P&L
- $-96.67
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $0.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.175 | $0.58 | −$2.42 |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Men's Final - Canada vs. USA · Canada | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.13at 0.699Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland
- +$7.77at 0.880Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia
- +$-3.33at 0.006Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
- +$-3.50at 0.300Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$-5.00at 0.030Will the US strike another country first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-21 12:04 | Men's Final - Canada vs. USA | BUY | 0.5399999965 | $65.65 |
| 02-20 18:41 | Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia | BUY | 0.88 | $57.00 |
| 02-20 18:41 | Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland | SELL | 0.999 | $57.12 |
| 02-20 17:44 | Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland | BUY | 0.4059405515 | $5.00 |
| 02-20 12:12 | Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland | BUY | 0.7799999955 | $35.00 |
| 02-20 12:11 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 02-20 12:11 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $28.33 |
| 01-20 01:21 | Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.00 |
| 01-20 01:20 | Will the US strike another country first? | BUY | 0.0298211271 | $5.00 |
| 01-19 22:17 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999964 | $40.00 |
| 01-19 22:15 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 01-19 22:14 | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 19:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | SELL | 0.005 | $16.67 |
| 01-19 19:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | BUY | 0.006 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 19:40 | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |