PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lolke

0x948b7127f7595833efe0f2c24f357218629fe263

Realised P&L
$-2.58
Volume
$425.78
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$127.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 28? · Yes0.3600.994$27.95+$17.83
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 28? · No0.6501.000$15.56+$5.44
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28? · Yes0.6800.996$14.59+$4.63
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on September 28? · No0.7701.000$13.13+$3.02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28? · No0.7701.000$12.98+$2.98
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 29? · No0.7900.775$9.93−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 28? · No0.7900.830$9.57+$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 28? · No0.6101.000$8.83+$3.44
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 28? · No0.6600.979$7.28+$2.37
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 28? · No0.7500.925$4.20+$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 29? · Yes0.2400.320$1.75+$0.44
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 28? · No0.5100.074$0.71−$4.20
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 28? · Yes0.4400.055$0.55−$3.85
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 29? · No0.0900.020$0.14−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 28? · No0.6270.002$0.03−$10.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 11:54Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 28?BUY0.509999999$4.91
09-28 10:20Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28?BUY0.6799999918$9.96
09-28 07:42Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.7699999985$5.07
09-28 07:29Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.7699999766$4.93
09-28 07:08Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 28?BUY0.9299999964$5.11
09-28 06:19Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 28?BUY0.9299999906$4.97
09-28 05:21Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 28?BUY0.44$4.40
09-27 19:53Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 27?BUY0.08$2.40
09-27 19:30Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 28?BUY0.6599999946$4.91