0x9486c84bb17fc98910e46aeec29aa45850bceecd
- Realised P&L
- $-96.31
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $36.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $20.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.086 | $16.43 | −$33.57 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.99 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026? · No | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.08at 0.490Cowboys vs. Bears
- +$104.08at 0.490Braves vs. Tigers
- +$103.73at 0.404Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
- +$68.36at 0.523Guardians vs. Twins
- +$63.93at 0.610Marlins vs. Phillies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 21:52 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $17.02 |
| 07-08 21:52 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.54 | $55.47 |
| 04-24 23:39 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.896 | $0.20 |
| 04-24 17:36 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.897 | $0.20 |
| 04-21 16:43 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.895 | $0.35 |
| 04-21 16:28 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.895 | $1.71 |
| 04-18 22:05 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.893 | $0.18 |
| 04-18 14:38 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.893 | $0.11 |
| 04-17 18:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.14 |
| 04-16 14:20 | Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.898 | $6.15 |
| 04-15 10:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.28 |
| 04-12 17:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.02 |
| 04-10 12:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.24 |
| 04-10 12:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.60 |
| 04-09 19:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1163035451 | $3.15 |