miirone
0x9483d921868f2a6ab4d3355d15fdbe9c447c0832
- Realised P&L
- $-456.14
- Volume
- $331.7k
- Markets traded
- 304
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded304
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.971 | $1.5k | −$28.23 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Down | 0.567 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.6k |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal - Map 1 Winner · FaZe | 0.591 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.508Counter-Strike: Gothic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Playoffs
- +$1.8kat 0.354Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.464Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B
- +$940.24at 0.679Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7526730202 | $331.70 |
| 10-08 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7022903427 | $1.1k |
| 10-08 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.510657124 | $1.0k |
| 10-08 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5528786779 | $2.6k |
| 10-08 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6324302334 | $741.51 |
| 10-08 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4588772666 | $813.34 |
| 10-08 17:28 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5415394883 | $482.80 |
| 10-08 17:28 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5296123224 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 17:25 | Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $4.6k |
| 10-08 16:50 | Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.9898813864 | $4.6k |
| 10-08 13:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9620656358 | $140.00 |
| 10-08 13:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9693085598 | $300.00 |
| 10-08 13:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9708516539 | $1000.00 |
| 10-08 13:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9597919282 | $1.0k |
| 10-08 13:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9595056911 | $1000.00 |