PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Horseing2

0x947401d32eb47c36bea0d2efb781d73a7b5d8f6c

Realised P&L
$8.61
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$6.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October? · No0.7900.929$4.65+$0.70
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? · No0.2950.255$1.28−$0.20
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.064$0.44−$0.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 07:04Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?BUY0.79$3.95
10-12 08:44Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?SELL0.61$3.05
10-12 08:43Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?BUY0.62$3.10
10-11 17:51Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?SELL0.24$1.20
10-11 17:40Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?SELL0.49$2.45
10-11 17:29Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?SELL0.47$2.35
10-11 17:23Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?SELL0.47$2.35
10-11 17:20Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?SELL0.47$2.35
10-11 17:18Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?SELL0.47$2.35
10-11 17:06Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?SELL0.31$1.55
10-11 17:00Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?SELL0.29$1.45
10-11 16:57Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?SELL0.28$1.40
10-11 16:55Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?SELL0.27$1.35
10-11 16:53Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?SELL0.56$2.80
10-11 16:42Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?SELL0.22$1.10