Horseing2
0x947401d32eb47c36bea0d2efb781d73a7b5d8f6c
- Realised P&L
- $8.61
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $6.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October? · No | 0.790 | 0.929 | $4.65 | +$0.70 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? · No | 0.295 | 0.255 | $1.28 | −$0.20 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.064 | $0.44 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.60at 0.270Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?
- +$6.45at 0.180Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?
- +$3.20at 0.160Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?
- +$2.50at 0.320Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.150Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 07:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-12 08:44 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 10-12 08:43 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-11 17:51 | Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-11 17:40 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-11 17:29 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-11 17:23 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-11 17:20 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-11 17:18 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-11 17:06 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-11 17:00 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-11 16:57 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-11 16:55 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 10-11 16:53 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-11 16:42 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |