ste937
0x9470ad5f704b311e8470cec193ddb1f3c2d08a30
- Realised P&L
- $5.5k
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $752.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.545 | $752.41 | +$62.13 |
| Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.60 |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · No | 0.388 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$462.73 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? · No | 0.601 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$873.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.293Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
- +$1.5kat 0.321Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$513.08at 0.723Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
- +$461.93at 0.729Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
- +$434.63at 0.621Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:03 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 08:17 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.5 | $195.00 |
| 09-07 15:41 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 11:09 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 09-04 14:44 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-04 14:40 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-04 14:19 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.71 | $63.90 |
| 09-04 14:17 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 09-04 14:13 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 09-04 13:03 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.71 | $17.75 |
| 07-08 10:07 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.34 | $113.48 |
| 07-01 12:25 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.44 | $96.80 |
| 07-01 11:07 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 07-01 10:58 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.44 | $30.80 |
| 06-30 11:35 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |