ste937
0x9470ad5f704b311e8470cec193ddb1f3c2d08a30
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $45.3k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.565 | $1.1k | +$67.43 |
| Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.60 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · No | 0.556 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · No | 0.388 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$462.73 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? · No | 0.601 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$873.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.290Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
- +$1.5kat 0.321Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$513.08at 0.723Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
- +$461.93at 0.729Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
- +$434.63at 0.621Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:54 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.54 | $15.45 |
| 10-20 09:46 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.62 | $248.00 |
| 10-10 07:37 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.56 | $279.99 |
| 10-10 04:59 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.57 | $142.50 |
| 10-10 04:31 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.56 | $168.00 |
| 10-10 04:24 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-20 18:21 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.57 | $111.15 |
| 09-14 19:03 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 08:17 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.5 | $195.00 |
| 09-07 15:41 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 11:09 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 09-04 14:44 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-04 14:40 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-04 14:19 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.71 | $63.90 |
| 09-04 14:17 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.71 | $142.00 |