ptibor
0x946c433e83d1845ade5aaf7c1f3e7dd02cf4547f
- Realised P&L
- $-355.83
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.002 | $3.76 | −$162.43 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.30 |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
| Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-07? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.69at 0.747Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
- +$42.21at 0.406U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?
- +$-22.00at 0.039Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-14 13:41 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $57.00 |
| 01-11 17:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $56.00 |
| 01-10 13:58 | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.045 | $2.02 |
| 01-10 13:53 | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.035 | $14.95 |
| 01-07 14:50 | Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-07? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 01-07 12:50 | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | SELL | 0.828 | $82.80 |
| 01-07 08:16 | U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? | BUY | 0.405908 | $40.59 |
| 01-04 17:41 | Maduro mugshot released by Monday? | BUY | 0.7465595 | $149.31 |
| 01-04 16:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $78.00 |
| 01-04 13:37 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? | BUY | 0.0474680851 | $2.23 |
| 01-04 13:28 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.82 |
| 01-04 13:22 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.24 |
| 01-04 13:21 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.03 |
| 01-04 12:55 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.13 |