gfaxxa
0x946c2da1339f623625b1575b00bcfc21b5b42cbc
- Realised P&L
- $3.99
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $9.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.270 | $8.32 | −$0.31 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? · Yes | 0.700 | 1.000 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.07at 0.487Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$0.85at 0.540March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?
- +$0.75at 0.570Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?
- +$0.67at 0.600No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
- +$0.49at 0.670Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on May 25 at 5 PM ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 18:54 | Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.2799999818 | $8.63 |
| 06-12 08:58 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 13:53 | Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 13:52 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 13:08 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 12:59 | Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 13:28 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:31 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:29 | Democratic sweep? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.03 |
| 09-23 13:41 | Democratic sweep? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 21:27 | Will a hurricane form by September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 16:05 | Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 05:48 | UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 13:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on May 25 at 5 PM ET? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 05:58 | No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |