jackspot2026
0x946b4efabfbe9abc77b8e378bbc87490576a6afc
- Realised P&L
- $27.47
- Volume
- $714.54
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $6.41
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 19? · No | 0.860 | 0.845 | $4.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.290 | $1.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 16? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 16? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.79at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 4?
- +$3.68at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16?
- +$3.55at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$2.59at 0.788Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$1.62at 0.855Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:49 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 12:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 09-17 12:34 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999952 | $7.76 |
| 09-17 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 01:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-16 21:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8455026361 | $9.40 |
| 09-16 21:49 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.919999996 | $9.21 |
| 09-16 17:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7759162141 | $9.50 |
| 09-16 08:34 | XRP Up or Down - September 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-16 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.72 |
| 09-16 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.48 | $0.96 |
| 09-15 22:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.939999998 | $9.50 |
| 09-15 20:44 | XRP Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.929999998 | $9.40 |
| 09-15 20:14 | XRP Up or Down - September 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |