pilips
0x9468fd21025a3602bb73afa9a117e5ba0160c84f
- Realised P&L
- $291.19
- Volume
- $88.4k
- Markets traded
- 749
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded749
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.32at 0.550Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 30?
- +$32.19at 0.642Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?
- +$16.61at 0.787Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 25?
- +$15.34at 0.711Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 14?
- +$13.24at 0.786Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $104.44 |
| 08-04 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 75°F or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $104.48 |
| 08-04 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.76 |
| 08-04 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 75°F or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.50 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9891651759 | $99.53 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.9921722375 | $100.92 |
| 08-04 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $38.87 |
| 08-04 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.84 |
| 08-04 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.987 | $138.08 |
| 08-04 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.35 |
| 08-04 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $98.33 |
| 08-04 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.60 |
| 08-04 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9725507757 | $137.91 |
| 08-04 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-04 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $138.05 |