fdgdfgfd
0x946005a21f9db74929c6f4661450fdcd5ef2048d
- Realised P&L
- $-18.17
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $2.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.966 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Alix Earle and Lando Norris confirm relationship in 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.880 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.485 | $0.60 | −$0.51 |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| McDonald's (MCD) Q2 global comparable sales growth <1.5%? · No | 0.692 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.49at 0.700Patriots vs. Jaguars
- +$2.27at 0.640Will Zoe Saldaña win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?
- +$0.54at 0.650Will Dynamo Kyiv beat Viktoria Plzen?
- +$0.54at 0.650League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. BNK FEARX
- +$0.48at 0.890Will West Ham beat Manchester City?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 08:18 | McDonald's (MCD) Q2 global comparable sales growth <1.5%? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 08:18 | McDonald's (MCD) Q2 global comparable sales growth <1.5%? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.60 |
| 07-29 08:18 | McDonald's (MCD) Q2 global comparable sales growth <1.5%? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 08:17 | Alix Earle and Lando Norris confirm relationship in 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 08:15 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $331.64 |
| 07-29 08:15 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $149.85 |
| 07-29 08:14 | Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $140.00 |
| 07-27 07:33 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $150.00 |
| 07-27 07:32 | Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $140.00 |
| 07-27 07:32 | Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $139.72 |
| 07-27 07:31 | Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $140.00 |
| 07-27 07:31 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $330.00 |
| 07-27 07:31 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $327.69 |
| 07-27 07:30 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $330.00 |
| 06-18 08:26 | Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.993 | $110.89 |