PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

defectual

0x945c2dff4414d310602ed5f941c519685de4a177

Realised P&L
$-9.57
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$0.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on September 16? · Yes0.0020.001$0.22$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 16? · Yes0.0080.001$0.19$2.79
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on September 16? · Yes0.0030.001$0.06$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 16? · Yes0.0040.001$0.04$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 16? · Yes0.0020.001$0.04$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 16? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01$1.99
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on September 16? · Yes0.0600.001$0.01$0.89
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16? · Yes0.4600.001$0.01$5.97
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on September 15? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 14? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 15? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.68
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 15? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$5.52
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 15? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$0.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on September 14? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:56Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16?BUY0.46$5.98
09-16 13:02Will the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on September 16?BUY0.003$0.36
09-16 11:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 16?BUY0.004$0.31
09-16 11:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 16?BUY0.002$0.15
09-16 06:02Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on September 16?BUY0.002$0.87
09-16 05:53Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on September 16?BUY0.06$0.90
09-16 05:25Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 16?BUY0.1$2.00
09-16 05:13Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 16?BUY0.008$2.98
09-16 00:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on September 16?BUY0.04$0.80
09-15 23:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16?BUY0.84$5.88
09-15 23:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?BUY0.009$0.09
09-15 23:04Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or below on September 16?BUY0.005$3.23
09-15 21:56Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 15?BUY0.78$5.85
09-15 21:09Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 15?BUY0.96$6.00
09-15 20:42Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 16?BUY0.59$2.95