PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x945bfe485b725f78b28b3bf836d4d0de9d6ea9f6

0x945bfe485b725f78b28b3bf836d4d0de9d6ea9f6

Realised P&L
$-14.80
Volume
$188.97
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$1.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? · Yes0.2800.275$0.98−$0.02
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September? · No0.7000.660$0.94−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 10:53Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-29 02:52Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?BUY0.69999972$1.00
09-27 06:01Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-24 07:39Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.77$1.00
09-23 23:39Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?BUY0.7$1.00
09-23 15:38Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-23 07:34SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?BUY0.4$1.00
09-22 23:18Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-20 13:30Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-20 00:04Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-19 11:55Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-19 03:54Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-17 17:48Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-17 17:39Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-17 06:48Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00